Our state of the art research causes healthcare professionals to rethink how they manage large and complex healthcare systems. Our sophisticated modelling tools, professional training courses, and consultancy support those involved in commissioning, delivering or managing services in a rapidly changing health and social care landscape.

Who are we?

The Health and Social Care Modelling Group (HSCMG) is a cross campus interdisciplinary research group, with expertise in medicine, healthcare, operational research and statistics. Setup in 1995, the group is renowned for its high quality healthcare systems research and quantitative decision support tools. We have also enjoyed success in delivering professional training courses, tailored to the needs of healthcare practitioners, in the areas of quantitative and qualitative modelling. At present, HSCMG is based in the School of Electronics and Computer Science at the University of Westminster, London, UK and comprises of academics, clinicians, research fellows, research students and administrators. We work on numerous health-related topics, including the planning and management of health and social care services. The group is currently led by Professor Thierry J. Chaussalet

We have expertise and skills in the following areas:

  • Quantitative modelling of the process and management of care
  • Intelligent data driven methods for informed healthcare decision making and performance management
  • Business Intelligence and Analytics for care resources planning and management

Current and past projects include:

  • Development of a robust simulation tool (for healthcare and business applications). Technology Strategy Board (KTP) (£110,528 – Apr 2009 – Mar 2011)
  • Forecasting length of stay and cost of long-term for elderly people – III. Department of Health (£28,860 – Apr 2009 – Mar 2010)
  • Mining patient profiles and cohort of users of a portfolio of services. Hounslow PCT (£14,205 – Oct – Dec 2008)
  • Demand planning tool for NHS Continuing Care. NHS London Procurement Programme (£11,000 – Jun – Oct 2008)
  • Forecasting length of stay and cost of long-term for elderly people – II. Department of Health (£39,980 – Apr 2008 – Mar 2009)
  • Forecasting length of stay and cost of long-term for elderly people – I. Department of Health (£19,842 – Jun 2007 – Mar 2008)
  • Modelling capacity and demand for a polyclinic. Hounslow PCT (£12,050 – Oct 2008 – Dec 2008)
  • A computer modelling and simulation based toolkit to enable rapid development of models of healthcare processes to advise health care organisations on optimal care provision and delivery. Department of Trade and Industry & RKW Healthcare Strategists – Knowledge Transfer Partnership (~£110,000 – June 2004 – May 2006)
  • Development of a clinical performance monitoring system. Department of Trade and Industry & Dendrite Clinical Systems – Knowledge Transfer Partnership (~£120,000 – September 2003 – August 2005)
  • Models of length of stay in care of older people. London Borough of Merton (£3,800 – November 2004 – March 2005)
  • Decision support tools for forecasting and planning resource use in long-term care for elderly people. Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council GR/R86430/01 (~£105,000 – September 2002 – September 2004).
  • Estimation of the effect of non-response bias in population questionnaire surveys using a computer simulation approach. Chief Medical Officer, Wales (£2,975, July 2002 – June 2003)
  • Analysis and modelling of length of stay from two Health Authorities data SECTA Group (~£4,000, consultancy – November 2001 to January 2002)
  • Development of an Information System (IS) for reporting and assessing Adverse Drug Reactions (ADR) of natural medicines. Department of Trade and Industry & The utriCentre – Teaching company scheme (~£200,000 for two schemes – August 2001 – August 2003)
  • Investigation of service provision for heart failure using decision analysis and simulation. Wales Office of Research and Development for Health and Social Care (£4,000 – July 2001 – June 2002)
  • Development of a decision support tool that could be used to enhance the decision making process involved in assessing the needs of the elderly persons and their placement in long-term care. Eleanor Peel Trust (medical charity – £10,000 – September 2000 – August 2001).