Publications 1998-2004

In Journals

  • Millard, P.H. (2004) Local Authority fines: penny wise, pound foolish. British Journal of Health Care Management, 10:368-372.
  • Marshall, A.H., McClean, S.I. and Millard, P.H. (2004) Addressing bed costs for the elderly: a new methodology for modelling patient outcomes and length of stay. Health Care Management Science 7:27-33.
  • Peters, D., Donaldson, J., Chaussalet, T., Toffa, S., Whitehouse, J., Carroll, D. and Barry, P. (2003) Time for a new approach for reporting herbal medicine adverse events? Journal of Alternative and Complementary Medicine 9(5):607-609.
  • Harrison, G., Millard, P. and Ivatts, S. (2003) Mathematical modelling: how and why. British Journal of Health Care Management, 9:144-150.
  • Xie, H., Chaussalet, T.J., Thompson, W.A. and Millard, P.H. (2002) Modelling decisions of a multidisciplinary panel for admission to long-term care. Health Care Management Science, 5(4):291-295.
  • Gorunescu, F., McClean, S.I. and Millard, P.H. (2002) A queueing model for bed-occupancy management and planning of hospitals. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 53:19-24.
  • Gorunescu, F., McClean, S.I. and Millard, P.H. (2002) Using a queuing model to help plan bed allocation in a department of geriatric medicine. Health Care Management Science, 5:307-312.
  • Marshall, A.H., McClean, S.I., Shapcott, C.M. and Millard, P.H. (2002) Modelling patient duration of stay to facilitate resource management of geriatric hospitals. Health Care Management Science, 5:313-319.
  • Ivatts, S. and Millard, P. (2002) Health care modelling – why should we try? British Journal of Health Care Management, 8:212-216.
  • Ivatts, S. Millard, P.H. (2002) Health care modelling: opening the ‘black-box’. British Journal of Health Care Management, 8:251-255.
  • Chaussalet, T.J. and El-Darzi, E. (2001) Modelling the process of care (editorial). Health Care Management Science, 4(1):5.
  • Chaussalet, T.J. and Thompson, W.A. (2001) Data requirements in a natural history model of Alzheimer’s disease. Health Care Management Science, 4(1):13-19.
  • Millard, P.H. (2001) NHS needs plan for all acute, rehabilitative, and long stay care. British Medical Journal, 322:735.
  • Millard, P.H., Christodoulou, G., Jagger, C., Harrison, G.W. and McClean, S.I. (2001) Modelling hospital and social care bed occupancy and use by elderly people in an English health district. Health Care Management Science, 4:57-62.
  • Marshall, A.H., McClean, S.I., Shapcott, C.M., Hastie, I.R. and Millard, P.H. (2001) Developing a Bayesian belief network for the management of geriatric hospital care. Health Care Management Science, 4:23-30.
  • Marshall, A.H., McClean, S.I., Shapcott, C.M. and Millard, P.H. (2001) Predicting patient survival using Bayesian belief networks. International Journal of Health Care Engineering, 9:13-15.
  • Victor, C., Hastie, I.R., Christodoulou, G. and Millard, P.H. (2001) The inappropriate placement of older people in nursing homes in England and Wales: a national audit. Quality in Ageing – Policy, Practice and Research, 2:16-25.
  • Chaussalet, T.J., Mann, J.A., Perry, J.N. and Francos-Rodriguez, J.C. (2000) A nearest neighbour approach to the simulation of spread of barley yellow dwarf virus. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 28:51-65.
  • Millard, P.H., Christodoulou, G. and Kuhanendran, D. (2000) Targeting the priorities of health and social care for an ageing population. CME Journal Geriatric Medicine, 2:119-121.
  • Millard, P.H., Mackay, M., Vasilakis, C. and Christodoulou, G. (2000) Measuring and modelling surgical bed usage. Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England, 82:75-82.
  • Taylor, G.J., McClean, S.I. and Millard, P.H. (2000) Stochastic models of geriatric patient bed occupancy behaviour. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A, 163:39-48.
  • Chaussalet, T.J., Millard, P.H. and El-Darzi, E. (1998) Evaluating the costs of alternative options for dementia services. Health Care Management Science, 1(2):125-138.
  • El-Darzi, E., Vasilakis, C., Chaussalet, T. and Millard, P.H. (1998) A simulation modelling approach to evaluating length of stay, occupancy, emptiness and bed blocking in a hospital geriatric department. Health Care Management Science, 1(2):143-149.
  • Millard, P.H. and Chaussalet, T.J. (1998) A modelling approach to the development of health and social services for dementia care. Archive of Gerontology and Geriatrics, supp. 6:325-334.

In Edited Books

  • El-Darzi, E., Vasilakis, C., Chaussalet, T. and Millard, P.H. (2000) A simulation model to evaluate the interaction between acute, rehabilitation, long-stay care and the community, pp 475-485, In Recent Developments and Applications in Decision Making, S.H. Zanakis, G. Doukidis, I. Anagnostopoulos (Eds), Kluwer Academic Publishers.

In Conference Proceedings

  • Pelletier, C., Chaussalet, T.J., Szirbik, N. and Vasilakis, C. (2004) Integrating data on the long-term care for elderly people from heterogeneous sources in support of research. In Proceedings of the 10th Mediterranean Conference of the International Federation for Medical and Biological Engineering, vol. 6. MEDICON 2004, Ischia, Italy, 31 July – 5 August 2004.
  • Gorunescu, R. and Millard P.H. (2004) An evolutionary model of a multidisciplinary review panel for admission to long-term care. In International Conference in Computers and Communication, pp 181-185, ICCC 2004, Oradea, Romania.
  • McClean, S.I. and Millard, P.H. (2004) Using a semi-Markov reward system to model geriatric care costs. In Proceedings of the 2nd International Workshop in Applied Probability, pp 247-250, Piraeus, Greece, 22-25 March 2004.
  • Pelletier, C., Chaussalet, T.J. and Millard, P.H. (2003) Modelling survival in long term care of older people. In Proceedings of 1st MEDINF International Conference on Medical Informatics & Engineering, MEDINF2003, Craiova, Romania, 9-11 October 2003.
  • Millard, P.H. (2002) Multi-disciplinary rehabilitation post-stroke: a consumer focus. In Different Strokes: issues and innovations 2002, clinical practice following stroke, pp 92-97, Adelaide, South Australia.
  • Millard, P.H. (2002) Modelling for measuring and monitoring performance. In Different Strokes: issues and innovations 2002, clinical practice following stroke, pp98-103, Adelaide, South Australia.
  • Thompson, W.A. and Chaussalet, T.J. (2001) Subgroup analyses of cost of care in a Markov model of the natural history of Alzheimer’s disease. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Health Science Simulation, pp 41-44, WMC2001, SCS Publications, Phoenix, USA, 8-11 January 2001.
  • Marshall, A., McClean, S., Shapcott, C. and Millard, P. (2001) Modelling patient outcomes using conditional phase-type distributions. In Govaert, G. and Janssen, J. (editors) ASMDA 2001. 10th International Symposium on Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis, pp 728-734, Universitie de Technologie de Compiegne, Compiegne, France.
  • Chaussalet, T.J., Xie, H.F., Thompson, W.A. and Millard, P.H. (2000) A discrete event simulation approach for evaluating screening policies for Alzheimer’s disease. In Proceedings of the 14th European Simulation Multiconference 2000, pp 624-630, SCS Publications, Ghent, Belgium, 23-26 May 2000.
  • El-Darzi, E., Vasilakis, C. Chaussalet, T.J. and Millard, P.H. (1999) A simulation approach to modelling the flow of patients between and within a geriatric department and the community. In Proceedings of the 5th International Conference of the Decision Sciences Institute, pp 674-677, New Technologies, Athens, Greece, 4-7 July 1999.
  • Francos-Rodriguez, J.C. and Chaussalet, T.J. (1999) Portfolio selection using contract based utility functions. In Proceedings of the 23rd Meeting of the EURO Working Group on Financial Modelling, pp 153-165, Progress & Business, Cracow, 8-10 October 1998.